Bitcoin Transaction Fees Hit Record High – What Does the Jump to $2,40 Mean?

In May 2025, the Bitcoin network experienced a historic paradox: the average transaction fee increased to $2,40 (the highest since the beginning of the year), while the number of daily transactions fell by 35%. This phenomenon reveals deeper changes in the market structure – from the expansion of institutional players to the coming supply shock.


Context: Why do fees increase when there are fewer transactions?

Counterintuitively, higher fees do not always mean more traffic. In the case of Bitcoin in May 2025, the key factors are:

  • Concentration of large transactions: Most activity comes from institutions and “whales” (wallets with ≥1000 BTC) who pay a premium for priority confirmations.

  • Changing the structure of operations: 62% of transactions are now complex operations (including transferring funds between funds, investing in derivatives).

  • Halving effect: After the April reduction in miner rewards, fees have become their main source of income – the pressure to maximize profits is increasing.


Statistics that change perspective

ParameterApril 2025May 2025Change
Average fee1,40 USD2,40 USD+ 71 %
Daily transactions507 000330 000-35%
Number of "whales"20312107+76 new addresses
Supply on stock exchanges2,5 million BTC2,1 million BTC-16% from January

Source: The Block, Glassnode, CryptoQuant


Three main reasons for record fees

1. Institutional accumulation

Według Santiment, in February and March 2025 it was created 76 new whale wallets (each with ≥1000 BTC). Companies like Metaplanet and Strategy are buying up Bitcoin on a massive scale, often storing it in cold storage. This reduces liquidity and changes the market dynamics:

  • Less BTC for sale: Only 11,2% of supply is available on exchanges – the lowest since 2018.

  • Pressure to block funds: High fees discourage small investors, favoring large players.

2. Technological evolution of the network

  • Lightning Network Integration: 43% of off-chain transactions reduce the load on the main chain, but those remaining on the mainnet are more expensive.

  • The Growing Popularity of Ordinals and BRC-20: Asset tokenization and NFTs on Bitcoin generates higher block load.

3. Market psychology

At BTC price above 105 000 USD, investors view the $2,40 fee as the “cost of coffee” – acceptable in exchange for the certainty of quick confirmation.


Investor Outlook – Supply Shock on the Horizon?

Positives:

  • Lower supply on stock exchanges: A 16% decline from January 2025 creates conditions for exchange rate appreciation.

  • Growing demand from institutions: BlackRock, Fidelity and European pension funds increase BTC allocation.

  • Historical precedents: In 2017 and 2021, fee spikes preceded bull markets (+1900% and +560% in a year, respectively).

Risks:

  • Bear market below $90: High fees may discourage new users.

  • Regulation: EU MiCA and DORA bills may restrict institutional use of BTC.

  • Mining consolidation: Smaller mining pools could go bankrupt by centralizing the network.


Bitcoin Technical Data (as of 19.05.2025)

ParameterValue
Price104 500 USD
Market capitalization2,04 trillion USD
Circulating supply19,7 million BTC
QuotationsBTC/PLN on Zonda

Analytical Summary

Bitcoin’s record fees aren’t just a technicality—they’re a signal of deeper changes in market structure. While retail investors may be feeling cost pressures, institutions and whales are taking advantage of the moment to strategically accumulate.

Key conclusions:

  1. The supply shock is real: A combination of falling supply on stock exchanges and institutional demand could accelerate gains.

  2. The corrections will be drastic: High variability is the norm in these types of conditions.

  3. Halving is changing the economics of the network: Fees now account for 38% of miners' revenues – a new pillar of Bitcoin security.

"Bitcoin is the only asset class where higher fees do not discourage, but attract capital. This is proof of its uniqueness"

Recommendations:

  • Long-term investors: Maintain positions, taking advantage of dips to buy in.

  • Traders: Watch the $90 (support) and $000 (resistance) levels.

  • Newbies: Consider stop-losses and avoid trading during peak hours (fees can be 3x higher).

In the era of institutional adoption, Bitcoin is transforming from “internet gold” into next-generation financial infrastructure. Record fees are the price of progress.

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