What makes you interested in the cryptocurrency market?
1) A new look at the business opportunities that this technology brings with it?
2) Its geopolitical overtone, influence on the shaping of virtual societies?
3) A change in the paradigms that we evaluate the world, and which maybe blockchain refresh?
4) Opportunities for professional development in a niche (yet) area?
5) hmm .. are you just here for the money, and the ideology you avoid with a wide arc?
Regardless of whether the short-term speculation attracted you to the cryptocurrencies, or you fundamentally believe in the assumptions of this technology, in 2019 / 2020 it will be impossible to pass by indifferently what will happen in this area.
I am deeply convinced that the next two years will have a significant impact on grain sprouting and husk sifting. As a result, the maturing market will be noticed outside the narrow circle of current enthusiasts. Who knows, maybe the existing group will be literally overwhelmed by a wave of new users.
In short, my look for the next two years looks like this:
2019 year: completing the infrastructure, protocols and tools. Primitive adoption.
2020 year: groundbreaking use cases and extraordinary business models. Many surprises.
Below you can find a summary filmin which I deal with these issues in detail.
ATTENTION: this is not an investment advice. I am not an investment adviser. The content contained in this article is my private opinion. He does not make any financial decisions on this basis.
There will be very clear reshuffles in the TOP100 list of cryptocurrencies in terms of 'capitalization'.
70% of current crypto accounts from TOP100 it will be replaced with new values.
It will be influenced by a number of factors, some of which I cover in the next points.
Stablecoins will start dominating the 'market cap' list TOP10.
At least 3 Stablecoins (USDx) will be on the TOP10 list.
Probably there will also be at least one Stablecoin secured with gold.
For these reasons, TOP10 will become relatively 'boring' and stable in the long run.
Bitcoin will no longer be cryptocurrency with the highest capitalization.
At position #1, one of the mentioned stablecoins will jump.
The role and capitalization of BTC will still be significant and Bitcoin will remain in TOP10.
Solutions will appear in the next layers (eg smart contracts!) Which will set up a new hand for Bitcoin.
CoinMarketCap will lose its leading position in presenting the state of the market.
Looking at the market through the prism of the 'market cap' will replace other, more accurate metrics (eg NVT).
Platforms that will give a new look at the condition of the market and projects (e.g. Messaria)
There will be a clear adoption of cryptocurrencies in the largest global enterprises as a means of payment or other use.
At least 10 of global brands will put its cryptocurrency into circulation or adapt one of the existing public solutions.
With time, no one will be surprised that one or another global brand / network introduces its'token'or' coin '.
The existing business giants will have an unexpected 'company' in the blockchain and crypto area.
At least 3 companies / persons whose business model has existed and fully rely on the use of this technology will appear among the 100's wealthiest businesses in the world.
The exponential growth of these enterprises will make their development from germination to fruiting quick and surprising for many people in global business.
Bitcoin 'will detach itself from other cryptocurrencies.
A large amount of maturing 'altcoins' will follow its own trend, independent of BTC.
Distinct and frequent will be phenomena where, e.g. Bitcoin falls, and some altcoins do not fall or grow, as well as the other side, Bitcoin is in a sideways or downward trend, and some 'altcoins' have strong increases.
Bitcoin will less and less determine the market direction to ultimately take a clearly independent trend.
ETFs will have a medium-term speculative impact on the market.
The buzz around ETFs will be continued and even intensified in 2019 / 2020 by institutional players. The 'buy rumors sell facts' effect will be seen on a thick scale.
The final debut of the ETFs will result in a short, but significant, growth impulse, followed by an equally strong drop in many values on the cryptocurrency market.
The global "crisis" and its impact on cryptocurrencies.
IF YOU HAVE A DEFICIENCY Crisis => no or negative impact on the world of cryptocurrencies and BTC.
IF THE ISSUE Crisis has occurred => a large inflow of capital to Bitcoin and cryptocurrency.
SCENARIOS: 2019 : new links in the crisis In 2020: EU / Asia | 2020 / 21: US / Powers
PoW and GPU mining will return as an important security trend for the network.
This return will take place thanks to factors A + B + C + D, where:
A: increase in demand for graphic calculations, used in AR / VR / autonomous cars / gamification.
B: increase in demand for 'EDGE computing', among others thanks to the open market on AI or VR.
C: rapid increase in the popularity of solar energy, lower and lower energy costs for $ 0 in some parts of the world (eg Africa).
D: developing fast PoW + dPoS hybrids, while at the same time vanishing solutions that in previous years devoted to decentralization for speed.
Africa will be an important link in technological, economic and social development:
Areas such as Africa will be a very important point on the business development map, thanks to the A + B + C factors, where:
A: development of technology for obtaining cheaper solar energy and its collection.
B: efficient connection of new areas to the fast 5G / 4G network thanks to mini-satellites (eg via OneWeb)
C: as a result, connecting billions of 'excluded' people to the global economy.
Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies will find their early adopters in Africa (but also in other developing areas of the world), cheap energy and extraordinary use cases.
PREDICTION #12A / #12B
Premature trends that will be publicized, but will not find (yet) wide use.
12A: Personal Token it needs more 'digitalization' on the 'interface' side with humans before the need for a Personal Token actually exists.
Until then it will be a tool for 'celebrities' and not a truly adapted solution on a larger scale.
12B: Decentralized Exchanges (DEX) they will be used massively only at IoT, with machine2machine payments, with a smooth and safe conversion of units.
As such, DEXs will be aggressively developed in the coming years, although the first applications will mainly be found in 'trading', which is a poor use case.
Utility Tokens will be massively 'converted' to Security Tokens.
'Regulators' will exacerbate pressure on entities that have been collecting funds under the ICO in 2017 / 2018.
As a result, many projects will collapse, will be forced to return funds.
Some of them voluntarily or involuntarily 'convert' from Utility to Security Token.
This will be another factor causing a significant reshuffle in the market.
Out of hiding they will leave: Sleepers Giants, BUIDL'erzy, Black Swans.
We will surprise you with the less-known projects that will jump to TOP 50.
These will include projects that:
a) Collected funds in 2017 / 2018, but entered the stock market until the product is ready.
b) They were developing in a quiet place, they were acquiring customers, but they were saving on marketing.
c) They come from Enterprise Business, they are supported by VCs funds, which w2019 / 20 will show the claw.
Of course, selecting these projects is more difficult ... 🙂
On the group Telegram we try to exchange knowledge about interesting technologies that maybe just sprout, but build promising foundations.
Satoshi Nakamoto will speak with his Bitcoins.
It is estimated that Satoshi Nakamoto on various wallets has collected close to 980,000 Bitcoins.
If Satoshi Nakamoto actually supports the idea of decentralization of finance (what I believe), then in my opinion:
- the negation of this idea would be to preserve these resources by Him / Nią / Ich ...
- imprudent and perhaps it would be unfair to burn these BTCs (equivalent to paying out dividends to current HODLERS).
In my opinion, FAIR would be to distribute these resources to the EXCLUDED regions of the world, which at the beginning of the birth of BTC were not technologically ready to participate in the development of this network (eg Africa).
Video that develops the above points
A link to summarize these points 'for fun' - in the English version.
Of course, the attempt to capture reality in the perspective of two years is largely guesswork. I am curious to know what percentage of hit shots I can achieve.
I hope that it will be like this:
- 50% prediction hit in point and in time,
- 25% judged too early, and
- 25% of missed predictions.
Time will tell..